Accurately predicting the weather is hard — really hard, but a new AI-powered forecast model just hit a milestone that has experts saying your forecast could soon get more accurate, and further out, too. It takes a Herculean effort to keep pace with ...

Meteorologists and other environmental scientists rely on numerical forecast models to aid in developing a weather outlook. These models, such as the American GFS model and European ECMWF model, use physics and a series of complex mathematical equations ...

During an epidemic, some of the most critical questions for healthcare decision-makers are the hardest ones to answer: When will the epidemic peak, how many people will need treatment at once and how long will that peak level of demand for care last?

The study departs from conventional mean-based economic forecasting by focusing on quantile prediction, a technique that captures the full range of possible outcomes rather than a single average estimate.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a wetter-than-average wet season for Hawai‘i, with La Niña conditions expected to influence rainfall patterns through early spring 2026.

Melissa is expected to become a Category 5 hurricane by Sunday night, Oct. 26, and have catastrophic impacts on islands in the northern Caribbean.